Confirmation of Problems with the Chinese Economy. Short term bubble then slow
This entry was posted on 6/23/2009 10:09 AM and is filed under uncategorized.
For once it is not just me complaining about China. See
the following from a former Columbia professor of economics now teaching in
Beijing. I did not make this one up, but it is great to see an occasional
confirmation.
William Gamble
The
comparisons with China are, and of course are meant to be, a little worrying.
This is not to say that China must repeat Japan’s spectacular 1990 crash and
subsequent lost decade (or two). It is simply to point out that none of what we
are seeing in China is particularly new and far from being a source of great
strength, the intense manipulation of monetary and fiscal policies and the
financial markets can actually make the necessary adjustment for China much
more difficult. Just as Japan failed to come to terms with the sudden collapse
of the US trade deficit and tried to export and monetize its way out, China may
be doing something very similar.